Negative Surprises in Bear Markets

The bear market is still alive and well, and full of surprises. I read a Tweet posted by long-time technical analyst Walter Deemer that said, “In a bear market, the surprises tend to be negative.” >> To subscribe to this monthly newsletter, click on Subscribe! Stronger Consumer Price Index & Wild Dow Jones Swings This was…

Questioning Persistent High Inflation and Deep Recession

In the past week or so, the markets, I suggest, have begun to question the prevailing conventional wisdom that inflation will remain persistently high and that the economy is likely to fall into a deep recession. This article explores why. >> To subscribe to this monthly newsletter, click on Subscribe! Commodity Prices & Payroll Suggest Moderating…

Investing in Times of 20+ P/Es

As a value investor, you must be asking yourself how best to go about investing in a time of 20+ P/Es. With over 90% of companies in the S&P500 reporting their 3rd quarter earnings, US corporate profits seem strong.  According to FactSet, about 80% reported better than expected earnings per share, and about 75% posted…