The direction of long-term interest rates is a topic that touches nearly every corner of the economy and financial markets, from corporate borrowing costs to household budgets and investment valuations. Presently, we are experiencing rising rates. Here’s how that might affect your investing decisions. Increasing US Treasury Bond Yields Since March 2026, the yield on…
It hardly seems it but we are halfway through 2023. Just as unbelievable is that the stock market is having a good year. >> To subscribe to this monthly newsletter, click on Subscribe! Something for Every Investor! The S&P500 is up just over 18%. The bond market has been ok too. There has been a lot…
Since October 2022, the stock market has steadily climbed higher and is now up over 20% from those lows. This begs the question of whether we are now in a new Bull market. Let’s explore along with concerns about commercial real estate. >> To subscribe to this monthly newsletter, click on Subscribe! Persistent Negativity Despite Upward…
The bear market is still alive and well, and full of surprises. I read a Tweet posted by long-time technical analyst Walter Deemer that said, “In a bear market, the surprises tend to be negative.” >> To subscribe to this monthly newsletter, click on Subscribe! Stronger Consumer Price Index & Wild Dow Jones Swings This was…
In the past week or so, the markets, I suggest, have begun to question the prevailing conventional wisdom that inflation will remain persistently high and that the economy is likely to fall into a deep recession. This article explores why. >> To subscribe to this monthly newsletter, click on Subscribe! Commodity Prices & Payroll Suggest Moderating…
As a value investor, you must be asking yourself how best to go about investing in a time of 20+ P/Es. With over 90% of companies in the S&P500 reporting their 3rd quarter earnings, US corporate profits seem strong. According to FactSet, about 80% reported better than expected earnings per share, and about 75% posted…
